Crisis Preparedness in a Changing World: Adapting to the New Normal

March 2025

The frequency and scale of crises have evolved significantly in recent years. From natural disasters like hurricanes to devastating terrorist attacks, our world is becoming increasingly vulnerable to unpredictable events. However, with these challenges comes an opportunity for growth and learning, particularly in the realm of crisis management and preparedness.

In my work, I’ve witnessed how even small incidents can escalate into full-blown crises due to unpreparedness. These experiences have underscored for me the critical importance of adapting our approach to crisis management.

The challenges we face in crisis management are complex, but not insurmountable. By understanding the drivers of crisis, adopting a proactive approach to preparation, and learning from past mistakes, we can build more resilient systems and communities. Crisis preparedness is not just about surviving – it’s about adapting, evolving, and becoming stronger in the face of adversity.

As we continue to face an ever-changing global landscape, let’s commit to building the frameworks, relationships, and resources necessary to respond to crises effectively. The key to success lies in proactive planning, effective communication, and continuous learning.

Photo of London gherkin building on the right and two construction cranes on the left.

Understanding and Navigating Modern Crises

February 2025

Crises today are more complex, interconnected, and unpredictable than ever. Mark N. Wexler (2009) aptly described this shift, noting how challenges once considered manageable have evolved into intricate, wicked problems that defy simple solutions.

Global interdependencies—spanning social, political, economic, and technological realms—have made crises more dynamic. Addressing them requires a deep understanding of the operating environment; navigating a crisis without this awareness is like sailing without a compass. As Wexler highlights, recognising the nuances of our modern world is key to effective crisis management.

Crises are evolving, and so must our approach to managing them. Understanding the operational and natural environments, recognizing the complexity of modern problems, and adopting an adaptive, proactive planning mindset are crucial. By integrating insights from leading scholars, we can build resilience and navigate the unpredictable with confidence.

City scape with earth on background linked with icons of various dangers such as fire, storms and biological weapons

Post-Crisis Behavioural Changes in Public Spaces

December 2024

The post-pandemic world has reshaped human behaviour in ways that many of us are still trying to fully comprehend. The Institute of Strategic Risk Management (ISRM) held a webinar where security practitioners share their experience of the world pre-during-post 2020 Pandemic, I (Alisa) was one of the panellists and shared my insights on how societal habits have shifted, particularly in public transportation.

Unpredictability and Changes in Peak Travel Patterns

Before 2020, patterns in railway travel were highly predictable. Peak times operated like clockwork, allowing railway staff to anticipate foot traffic, security concerns, and behavioural trends. However, after the pandemic, everything changed:

  • Peak times shifted—Monday and Friday mornings, once a high-traffic period, became eerily quiet.
  • Travelers adjusted their schedules, with early morning commutes starting much earlier than before.
  • Customer expectations evolved—passengers expected social distancing measures to remain in place, creating tension when those expectations weren’t met.

Rising Antisocial Behaviour and Violence

A troubling trend that emerged post-pandemic was an increase in aggressive behaviour. While anti-social behaviour was always present in public spaces, it became more volatile and less predictable after lockdowns.

  • Higher aggression in public spaces – People seemed to have shorter fuses, reacting more quickly and aggressively to minor disruptions.
  • Increased violence against staff – Engaging with passengers over routine enforcement (such as ticketing or baggage policies) was met with immediate hostility.
  • Unprovoked assaults on staff – many faced verbal and at times physical assaults without any prior engagement or enforcement. 

The Role of Social Media and the Changing Perception of Authority

I have witnessed significant impact of social media on public perceptions of authority figures. With more time spent online during lockdowns, many individuals consumed content that encouraged defiance against rules and regulations.

  • Rise in "Auditors"—people who record confrontations with authority figures to challenge laws and policies.
  • A shift in public attitudes towards enforcement—many individuals now believe they can challenge byelaws and laws based on information they’ve seen online.
  • Misinformation and lack of verification—social media has made it easier for false narratives about regulations to spread, influencing how people respond to authority figures like transport officials or police.

The Need for Reinventing Communication

Traditional ways of communicating with public are becoming obsolete.

  • Posters and announcements are ignored—most public are now deeply engrossed in their phones, wearing noise-cancelling headphones, and not paying attention to public service announcements.
  • Face-to-face communication is more difficult—interacting with public can feel like breaking into a personal "bubble," leading to defensiveness or aggression.
  • Railway enforcement faces challenges—the expectation of compliance has diminished, making it harder to enforce basic travel rules.

The Path Forward: Training and Adaptation

Understanding and adapting to these new behaviours has become essential.

  • Training needs to focus on psychological insights—security and frontline staff must now be equipped with a deeper understanding of human behaviour, not just enforcement tactics.
  • Incident management should be flexible—processes should allow staff to handle unexpected crises effectively.
  • Communication strategies need to evolve—finding new ways to engage with the public is crucial in a world where traditional methods no longer work.

The above was my input during the webinar and my personal findings. If this topic interests you and you would like to listen to full webinar please click the button below. 

Photo of London gherkin building on the right and two construction cranes on the left.

How AI Can Revolutionise Risk Management in Public Transport Security

February 2024

In the evolving landscape of risk management, AI (Artificial Intelligence) is a game-changer. But how exactly can it be implemented in industries like public transportation? The Institute of Strategic Risk Management held a webinar in February 2024 where panel discussed this topic and I had a pleasure of being one of the panellists. 

So how  do I see AI’s role in managing security, reducing risks, and improving operational efficiency?

The Current AI Adoption in Public Transport

AI use in the railway sector is still minimal—many in the industry remain unfamiliar with its capabilities. While some AI applications are being explored, particularly for text-based tasks and research, the integration into real-time security operations is still in its infancy. 

AI can uncover the unknown and unpredictable by analysing large datasets, identifying patterns, and offering predictive insights to prevent security breaches before they happen.

AI for Threat Prediction and Incident Analysis

One of the most promising AI applications envisage is predictive analysis. AI tools can process past security data to:

  • Identify patterns in crime and anti-social behaviour.
  • Predict where incidents might occur, enabling better deployment of security personnel.
  • Enhance threat monitoring by using AI-driven dashboards to track protests, disruptions, and potential risks.

For example, one of the security investigation has taken me 80 hours to process data manually. AI could have processed the same data in just 8 minutes, allowing teams to focus on decision-making and full report preparation rather than data gathering and processing.

AI's Role in Efficient Decision-Making

Railway operations require rapid decision-making, especially in emergencies. I see AI-powered solutions playing a crucial role in:

  • Speeding up incident reporting and analysis, reducing response times.
  • Optimising security deployment, ensuring personnel are stationed where they are most needed.
  • Enhancing control room efficiency, using AI to quickly retrieve best practices for handling specific incidents.

 The Road Ahead: AI Integration in Risk Management

While AI has enormous potential, its success depends on proper integration and security protocols put in place. Before adopting AI, companies must:

  • Clearly define their problems – AI is a tool, not a magic fix; organisations must first identify specific challenges.
  • Understand the data landscape – AI relies on quality data. Organisations must ensure structured reporting and data accuracy.
  • Balance innovation with practicality – AI should complement human decision-making, not replace it.
  • Ensure data security - organisations must develop their own secure information depository and not jump in-to ready made solutions that have potential to leak information. 

The above was my input during the webinar and my personal findings. If this topic interests you and you would like to listen to full webinar please click the button below. 

 

Photo of London gherkin building on the right and two construction cranes on the left.

We need your consent to load the translations

We use a third-party service to translate the website content that may collect data about your activity. Please review the details in the privacy policy and accept the service to view the translations.